Market comparison

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

1 venue · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

18 outcomes · $9.5M reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
April 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.5% Bid 42.0% · Ask 43.0% April 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
August 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% August 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
August 31, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	60.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 61.0% August 31, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
December 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0% December 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
December 31, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	71.5% Bid 71.0% · Ask 72.0% December 31, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
February 28, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 33.0% February 28, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
January 31, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0% January 31, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
July 31, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	57.5% Bid 57.0% · Ask 58.0% July 31, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
June 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% June 30 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
June 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.5% Bid 55.0% · Ask 56.0% June 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
March 31, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0% March 31, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
May 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.0% Bid — · Ask 0.1% May 31 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
May 31, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.5% Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0% May 31, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
November 30 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% November 30 Open Polymarket ↗	—
November 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.5% Bid 67.0% · Ask 68.0% November 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 31 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.2% Bid 2.1% · Ask 2.3% October 31 Open Polymarket ↗	—
October 31, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0% October 31, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—
September 30, 2027 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	63.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 64.0% September 30, 2027 Open Polymarket ↗	—

April 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.5%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 43.0%

April 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

August 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

August 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

August 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

60.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 61.0%

August 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

December 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

December 31

Open Polymarket ↗

December 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

71.5%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 72.0%

December 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

February 28, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 33.0%

February 28, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

January 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

January 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

July 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

57.5%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 58.0%

July 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

June 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.5%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 56.0%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

March 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0%

March 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

May 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

May 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

May 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 51.0%

May 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

November 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

November 30

Open Polymarket ↗

November 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

67.5%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 68.0%

November 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 2.3%

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

October 31, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

65.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 66.0%

October 31, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

September 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

63.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 64.0%

September 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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