The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

San Antonio vs Dallas

2 venues · 72 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

2 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 28s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 27, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

71 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 28s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 25, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Postponement: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time (tennis: not finished within two weeks); Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up (UFC/tennis: ~14 days).
  • Ties and draws in two-way sports (NFL, college football, UFC no-contest): both venues pay 50/50.
  • Soccer: both settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties excluded.
  • Tennis: Kalshi requires a ball to be played and pays the winner; Polymarket pays the player who advances, including on retirement. A pre-match walkover is a fair price on Kalshi, 50-50 on Polymarket.
  • UFC: Kalshi ignores result changes after expiry; Polymarket follows the official UFC result.
  • Polymarket two-way moneylines are one contract priced on the first-named side; the other side is its complement (recorded as a derived relation, not a link).

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

San Antonio

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 82.0%

San Antonio

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

80.5%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 81.0%

Spurs vs. Mavericks

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

1H Moneyline

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

1H Moneyline

Open Polymarket ↗

1H O/U 118.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

52.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 56.0%

1H O/U 118.5

Open Polymarket ↗

1H Spread -6.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

49.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 54.0%

1H Spread -6.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Dallas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Dallas

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

O/U 203.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

82.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 97.0%

O/U 203.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 205.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

80.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 95.0%

O/U 205.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 207.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

82.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 95.0%

O/U 207.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 209.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

80.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 95.0%

O/U 209.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 211.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

83.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 95.0%

O/U 211.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 213.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

83.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 95.0%

O/U 213.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 215.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

80.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 91.0%

O/U 215.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 217.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

76.5%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 81.0%

O/U 217.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 219.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

78.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 91.0%

O/U 219.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 220.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

71.5%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 74.0%

O/U 220.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 221.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

68.5%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 76.0%

O/U 221.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 223.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

65.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 69.0%

O/U 223.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 225.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

61.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 64.0%

O/U 225.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 226.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

59.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 61.0%

O/U 226.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 227.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

57.5%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 60.0%

O/U 227.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 228.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

56.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 58.0%

O/U 228.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 229.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

52.5%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 55.0%

O/U 229.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 230.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

51.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 52.0%

O/U 230.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 231.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 51.0%

O/U 231.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 233.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 48.0%

O/U 233.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 234.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 45.0%

O/U 234.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 236.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 43.0%

O/U 236.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 239.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 37.0%

O/U 239.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 242.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 31.0%

O/U 242.5

Open Polymarket ↗

O/U 245.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 27.0%

O/U 245.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Odd/Even Score

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Odd/Even Score

Open Polymarket ↗

Overtime?

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Overtime?

Open Polymarket ↗

Race to 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Race to 10

Open Polymarket ↗

Race to 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Race to 20

Open Polymarket ↗

Race to 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Race to 30

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -1.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 20.0%

Spread -1.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -4.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

70.5%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 75.0%

Spread -4.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -6.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

66.5%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 69.0%

Spread -6.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -8.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

58.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 60.0%

Spread -8.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -10.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

52.0%

Bid 50.0% · Ask 54.0%

Spread -10.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -12.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

45.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 46.0%

Spread -12.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -14.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 43.0%

Spread -14.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -15.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0%

Spread -15.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -16.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 38.0%

Spread -16.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -17.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

Spread -17.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -18.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 33.0%

Spread -18.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -20.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 30.0%

Spread -20.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -22.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 26.0%

Spread -22.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -24.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 20.0%

Spread -24.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -26.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 17.0%

Spread -26.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -28.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 14.0%

Spread -28.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -30.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Spread -30.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -32.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Spread -32.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -34.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Spread -34.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread -36.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.0%

Spread -36.5

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 21.0%

Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0%

Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0%

Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0%

Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 9.0%

Spread: Mavericks (-11.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Mavericks (-13.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0%

Spread: Mavericks (-13.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Mavericks (-19.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 15.0%

Spread: Mavericks (-19.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

75.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 79.0%

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

69.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 77.0%

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

68.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 72.0%

Spread: Spurs (-5.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

63.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 65.0%

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

55.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 57.0%

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 50.0%

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Spurs (-13.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 45.0%

Spread: Spurs (-13.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Spread: Spurs (-19.5)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

27.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 31.0%

Spread: Spurs (-19.5)

Open Polymarket ↗

Team to Score First

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 97.0%

Team to Score First

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.