Market comparison

SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $27K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 51s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Climer, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.1% Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.3% Climer, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Climer, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.6% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.2% Climer, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Climer, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 85.0% Climer, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Climer, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0% Climer, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Climer, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	55.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 57.0% Climer, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Climer, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0% Climer, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Climer, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0% Climer, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Climer, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 6.8% · Ask 18.0% Climer, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Climer, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 12.0% Climer, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Climer, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.6% Climer, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Climer, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9% Climer, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.6% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.5% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.1% Bid 27.8% · Ask 32.4% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 31.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.4% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.9% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Climer, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.1%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 93.3%

Climer, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Climer, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.6%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.2%

Climer, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Climer, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 85.0%

Climer, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Climer, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0%

Climer, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Climer, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

55.0%

Bid 49.0% · Ask 57.0%

Climer, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Climer, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0%

Climer, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Climer, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0%

Climer, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Climer, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 6.8% · Ask 18.0%

Climer, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Climer, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 12.0%

Climer, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Climer, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.6%

Climer, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Climer, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9%

Climer, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 7.6%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 5.5%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.1%

Bid 27.8% · Ask 32.4%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 31.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.4%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.9%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets