Market comparison

SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $10K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 7s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Clyburn, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.6% Clyburn, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clyburn, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 89.0% Clyburn, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clyburn, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	77.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0% Clyburn, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clyburn, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0% Clyburn, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clyburn, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0% Clyburn, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clyburn, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Clyburn, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clyburn, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0% Clyburn, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clyburn, 40+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0% Clyburn, 40+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clyburn, 43+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.1% Bid 5.8% · Ask 17.0% Clyburn, 43+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.4% Bid 2.9% · Ask 12.0% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.9% Democrat 5-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.2% Bid 4.3% · Ask 14.1% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.2% Bid 3.6% · Ask 8.8% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 33.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 31.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.0% Democrat 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.3% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Clyburn, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.6%

Clyburn, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clyburn, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 89.0%

Clyburn, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clyburn, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

77.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0%

Clyburn, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clyburn, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0%

Clyburn, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clyburn, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0%

Clyburn, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clyburn, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Clyburn, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clyburn, 37+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0%

Clyburn, 37+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clyburn, 40+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0%

Clyburn, 40+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Clyburn, 43+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.1%

Bid 5.8% · Ask 17.0%

Clyburn, 43+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.4%

Bid 2.9% · Ask 12.0%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.9%

Democrat 5-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.2%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 14.1%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 8.8%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 33.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 31.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 21.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.0%

Democrat 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.3%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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