The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Serie A: 2027 Champion

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 19 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

24 outcomes · $983K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: May 29, 2027

20 outcomes · $289K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Atalanta

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.7%

Atalanta

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Atalanta

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Bologna

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 3.8%

Bologna

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Bologna

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.2 pp

Cagliari

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Cagliari

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Cagliari

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Como

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.4%

Como

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

Como

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Fiorentina

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Fiorentina

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Fiorentina

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Frosinone

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

Frosinone

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Frosinone

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Genoa

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Genoa

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Genoa

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Juventus

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Juventus

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Juventus

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Lazio

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 4.7%

Lazio

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 6.0%

Lazio

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.3 pp

Lecce

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.0%

Lecce

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lecce

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Milan

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 5.0%

AC Milan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Milan

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.9 pp

Monza

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Monza

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Monza

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Napoli

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 2.1%

Napoli

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Napoli

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Parma Calcio

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Parma

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Parma Calcio

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Roma

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.9% · Ask 15.1%

Roma

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Roma

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Sassuolo

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Sassuolo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sassuolo

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Torino

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Torino

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Torino

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Udinese

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Udinese

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Udinese

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Venezia

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Venezia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Venezia

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Inter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 61.0%

Inter

Open Kalshi ↗

Inter Milan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

61.5%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 62.0%

Inter Milan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.