The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Serie A Top 4 Finishers

2 venues · 61 outcome rows · 17 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

58 outcomes · $142K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Observed 58s ago

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 14, 2027

20 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Atalanta

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 5.4%

Atalanta

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 14.0%

Atalanta

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 9.6 pp

Bologna

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Bologna

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0%

Bologna

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Cagliari

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 4.7%

Cagliari

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Cagliari

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

Como

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0%

Como

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 52.0%

Como

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Fiorentina

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.6%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 7.1%

Fiorentina

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0%

Fiorentina

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Frosinone

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 4.9%

Frosinone

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 12.0%

Frosinone

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.1 pp

Genoa

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

12.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 25.0%

Genoa

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

31.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 63.0%

Genoa

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 18.8 pp

Juventus

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 44.0%

Juventus

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 48.0%

Juventus

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Lazio

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

Lazio

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 28.0%

Lazio

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 7.5 pp

Lecce

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.6%

Lecce

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Lecce

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.4 pp

Monza

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 3.9%

Monza

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Monza

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

Napoli

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0%

Napoli

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0%

Napoli

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Roma

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

82.5%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 84.0%

Roma

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 83.0%

Roma

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 8.5 pp

Sassuolo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 6.3%

Sassuolo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Sassuolo

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Torino

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.1%

Torino

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0%

Torino

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.1 pp

Udinese

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 3.7%

Udinese

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Udinese

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

Venezia

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.1%

Venezia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Venezia

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.6 pp

1. FC Köln

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

49.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 97.9%

1. FC Köln

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

AC Milan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

62.5%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 63.0%

AC Milan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Alavés

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.9%

Alavés

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Athletic Bilbao

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.4%

Athletic Bilbao

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Atlético Madrid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 22.0%

Atlético Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Barcelona

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

98.0%

Bid 96.3% · Ask 99.8%

Barcelona

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bayer Leverkusen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

70.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 77.0%

Bayer Leverkusen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bayern Munich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

96.5%

Bid 96.1% · Ask 96.9%

Bayern Munich

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Betis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.9%

Betis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Borussia Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

86.5%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 88.0%

Borussia Dortmund

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.0%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Celta Vigo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Celta Vigo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Deportivo La Coruña

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.0%

Deportivo La Coruña

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Eintracht Frankfurt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid — · Ask 1.6%

Eintracht Frankfurt

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Elche

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.5%

Elche

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Espanyol

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 4.5%

Espanyol

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

FC Augsburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 48.0%

FC Augsburg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Getafe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 3.5%

Getafe

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hamburger SV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.4%

Bid 7.4% · Ask 33.5%

Hamburger SV

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Inter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 98.0%

Inter

Open Kalshi ↗

Inter Milan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

90.3%

Bid 89.4% · Ask 91.3%

Inter Milan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Levante

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 2.6%

Levante

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mainz 05

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

44.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 88.0%

Mainz 05

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Málaga

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.0%

Málaga

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Milan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 67.0%

Milan

Open Kalshi ↗

Osasuna

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 3.4%

Osasuna

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Parma

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.1%

Parma

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Parma Calcio

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Parma Calcio

Open Kalshi ↗

Racing Santander

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.7%

Racing Santander

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rayo Vallecano

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 5.8%

Rayo Vallecano

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

RB Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

52.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 61.0%

RB Leipzig

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Real Madrid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

77.5%

Bid 76.4% · Ask 78.6%

Real Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Real Sociedad

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.2%

Real Sociedad

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

SC Freiburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 64.0%

SC Freiburg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

SC Paderborn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.7%

SC Paderborn

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Schalke 04

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.2%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 20.3%

Schalke 04

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sevilla

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.0%

Sevilla

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

SV Elversberg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

48.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 95.9%

SV Elversberg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

TSG Hoffenheim

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 19.0%

TSG Hoffenheim

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Union Berlin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.9%

Union Berlin

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Valencia

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.0%

Valencia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

VfB Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 41.0%

VfB Stuttgart

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Villarreal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.9%

Villarreal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Werder Bremen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 86.0%

Werder Bremen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.