Market comparison

Serie A Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

2 venues · 43 outcome rows · 17 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

20 outcomes · $41K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: May 30, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

60 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 17, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Serie A Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Atalanta Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.5% Bid 3.3% · Ask 5.8% Atalanta Open Polymarket ↗	16.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0% Atalanta Open Kalshi ↗	11.5 pp
Bologna Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.0% Bologna Open Polymarket ↗	5.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0% Bologna Open Kalshi ↗	4.5 pp
Cagliari Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.7% Cagliari Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Cagliari Open Kalshi ↗	2.5 pp
Como Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	47.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 48.0% Como Open Polymarket ↗	54.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 54.0% Como Open Kalshi ↗	7.0 pp
Fiorentina Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.4% Bid 4.9% · Ask 5.9% Fiorentina Open Polymarket ↗	5.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0% Fiorentina Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Frosinone Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.6% Frosinone Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 12.0% Frosinone Open Kalshi ↗	3.9 pp
Genoa Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.8% Bid 3.1% · Ask 8.5% Genoa Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Genoa Open Kalshi ↗	0.8 pp
Juventus Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	43.5% Bid 43.0% · Ask 44.0% Juventus Open Polymarket ↗	43.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 48.0% Juventus Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Lazio Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	20.4% Bid 20.0% · Ask 20.9% Lazio Open Polymarket ↗	29.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0% Lazio Open Kalshi ↗	8.5 pp
Lecce Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.4% Lecce Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Lecce Open Kalshi ↗	3.1 pp
Monza Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.5% Bid 1.5% · Ask 5.4% Monza Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Monza Open Kalshi ↗	1.6 pp
Napoli Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Napoli Open Polymarket ↗	33.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 33.0% Napoli Open Kalshi ↗	4.0 pp
Roma Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	82.5% Bid 81.0% · Ask 84.0% Roma Open Polymarket ↗	73.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 83.0% Roma Open Kalshi ↗	9.5 pp
Sassuolo Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.7% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.3% Sassuolo Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Sassuolo Open Kalshi ↗	0.4 pp
Torino Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.3% Bid 0.5% · Ask 4.1% Torino Open Polymarket ↗	5.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0% Torino Open Kalshi ↗	3.2 pp
Udinese Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.6% Udinese Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Udinese Open Kalshi ↗	2.5 pp
Venezia Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.1% Venezia Open Polymarket ↗	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Venezia Open Kalshi ↗	2.8 pp
AC Milan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	62.5% Bid 62.0% · Ask 63.0% AC Milan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Atletico Mineiro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 80.0% Atletico Mineiro Open Kalshi ↗ 6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 24.0% Atletico Mineiro Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bahia Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 94.0% Bahia Open Kalshi ↗ 9.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0% Bahia Open Kalshi ↗	—
Botafogo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0% Botafogo Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Botafogo Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bragantino Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 39.0% Bragantino Open Kalshi ↗ 10.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Bragantino Open Kalshi ↗	—
Chapecoense Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Chapecoense Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Chapecoense Open Kalshi ↗	—
Corinthians Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Corinthians Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Corinthians Open Kalshi ↗	—
Coritiba Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0% Coritiba Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Coritiba Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruzeiro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 85.0% Cruzeiro Open Kalshi ↗ 67.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 67.0% Cruzeiro Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flamengo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 100.0% Flamengo Open Kalshi ↗ 91.0% Bid 91.0% · Ask 98.0% Flamengo Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fluminense Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.0% Fluminense Open Kalshi ↗ 36.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 53.0% Fluminense Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gremio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Gremio Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Gremio Open Kalshi ↗	—
Inter Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 86.0% · Ask 100.0% Inter Open Kalshi ↗	—
Inter Milan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.8% Bid 89.0% · Ask 90.6% Inter Milan Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Internacional Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Internacional Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Internacional Open Kalshi ↗	—
Milan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 67.0% Milan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mirassol Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Mirassol Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Mirassol Open Kalshi ↗	—
Palmeiras Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.0% Palmeiras Open Kalshi ↗ 90.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 98.0% Palmeiras Open Kalshi ↗	—
Paranaense Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 96.0% · Ask 99.0% Paranaense Open Kalshi ↗ 70.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 79.0% Paranaense Open Kalshi ↗	—
Parma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.1% Parma Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Parma Calcio Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Parma Calcio Open Kalshi ↗	—
Remo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Remo Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Remo Open Kalshi ↗	—
Santos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 66.0% Santos Open Kalshi ↗ 5.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0% Santos Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sao Paulo Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 28.0% Sao Paulo Open Kalshi ↗ 10.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Sao Paulo Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vasco da Gama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 13.0% Vasco da Gama Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Vasco da Gama Open Kalshi ↗	—
Vitoria Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0% Vitoria Open Kalshi ↗ 5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Vitoria Open Kalshi ↗	—

Atalanta

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 5.8%

Atalanta

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 18.0%

Atalanta

Serie A Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

Polymarket

Kalshi

Atalanta

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bologna

Polymarket

Kalshi

Cagliari

Polymarket

Kalshi

Como

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fiorentina

Polymarket

Kalshi

Frosinone

Polymarket

Kalshi

Genoa

Polymarket

Kalshi

Juventus

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lazio

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lecce

Polymarket

Kalshi

Monza

Polymarket

Kalshi

Napoli

Polymarket

Kalshi

Roma

Polymarket

Kalshi

Sassuolo

Polymarket

Kalshi

Torino

Polymarket

Kalshi

Udinese

Polymarket

Kalshi

Venezia

Polymarket

Kalshi

AC Milan

Polymarket

Kalshi

Atletico Mineiro

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bahia

Polymarket

Kalshi

Botafogo

Polymarket

Kalshi

Bragantino

Polymarket

Kalshi

Chapecoense

Polymarket

Kalshi

Corinthians

Polymarket

Kalshi

Coritiba

Polymarket

Kalshi

Cruzeiro

Polymarket