The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

1 venue · 31 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

31 outcomes · $50K reported volume

Observed 99h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 2, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

October 1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 1 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

64.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 2

Open Polymarket ↗

October 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 3 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

55.9%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 4

Open Polymarket ↗

October 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

74.8%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 5

Open Polymarket ↗

October 6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 6 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 8 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 9 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 10 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 11

Open Polymarket ↗

October 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 12 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 13 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 15

Open Polymarket ↗

October 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 16 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

October 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 17

Open Polymarket ↗

October 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

60.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 18

Open Polymarket ↗

October 19

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 19

Open Polymarket ↗

October 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

60.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 20

Open Polymarket ↗

October 21

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

53.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 21

Open Polymarket ↗

October 22

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 22

Open Polymarket ↗

October 23

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 23

Open Polymarket ↗

October 24

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 24

Open Polymarket ↗

October 25

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 25

Open Polymarket ↗

October 26

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 26

Open Polymarket ↗

October 27

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 27

Open Polymarket ↗

October 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 28

Open Polymarket ↗

October 29

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 29

Open Polymarket ↗

October 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 30

Open Polymarket ↗

October 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.5%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

October 31

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.