The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

2 venues · 11 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

8 outcomes · $185K reported volume

Observed 41s ago

Observed 8m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 11, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

August 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.0%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

August 31, 2026 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Before 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 28.0%

Before 2027

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Aug 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Aug 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Dec 11, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 93.0%

Before Dec 11, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Nov 13, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

Before Nov 13, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Nov 27, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 73.0%

Before Nov 27, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Oct 1, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 1, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Oct 16, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Before Oct 16, 2026 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Before Oct 30, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Before Oct 30, 2026

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

December 31, 2026

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 25.0%

December 31, 2026

Open Polymarket ↗

June 30, 2027

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

86.5%

Bid 80.1% · Ask 92.9%

June 30, 2027

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.