Market comparison

Spanish general election: 2nd place

2 venues · 15 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

68 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Spanish general election: 2nd place
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
PSOE Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	83.5% Bid 82.0% · Ask 85.0% PSOE Open Polymarket ↗	85.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 89.0% PSOE Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
Vox Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	8.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0% Vox Open Polymarket ↗	6.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Vox Open Kalshi ↗	2.0 pp
Broad Front (FA) Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0% Broad Front (FA) Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
CentreBC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% CentreBC Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Conservative Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Conservative Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Greens Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Greens Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
NDP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.5% Bid 88.0% · Ask 93.0% NDP Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
OneBC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid — · Ask 0.9% OneBC Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Party AA Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Party AA · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Party AB Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Party AB · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Party AC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Party AC · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Party AD Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Party AD · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
People's Party Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% People's Party Open Kalshi ↗	—
Podemos Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.0% Podemos Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
PP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 33.0% PP Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

PSOE

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

83.5%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 85.0%

PSOE

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 89.0%

PSOE

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Vox

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 12.0%

Vox

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Vox

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Broad Front (FA)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 13.0%

Broad Front (FA)

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

CentreBC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

CentreBC

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Conservative

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0%

Conservative

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Greens

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Greens

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

NDP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

90.5%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 93.0%

NDP

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

OneBC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid — · Ask 0.9%

OneBC

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Party AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Party AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Party AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Party AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Party AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Party AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Party AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Party AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

People's Party

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

People's Party

Open Kalshi ↗

Podemos

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.0%

Podemos

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

PP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 33.0%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets