The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)

2 venues · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

1 outcomes · $3.0M reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

At least 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

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Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

At least 5 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

At least 8 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 64.0%

At least 9

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 14.0%

At least 10

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

At least 12

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

At least 14

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

At least 16

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

At least 20

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 25

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

At least 25

Open Kalshi ↗

Yes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 0.9%

Yes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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