Market comparison
Taichung Mayor Election Winner
2 venues · 5 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗30 outcomes · $25K reported volume
Observed 43s ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗3 outcomes · $3K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 28, 2027
Known rule differences between venues
- Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Ho Hsin-chun Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 1.2 pp | ||
Chiang Chi-chen Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Hong Li-hua Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Johnny Chiang Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Yang Chiung-ying Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Ho Hsin-chun
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.2 pp
Chiang Chi-chen
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Hong Li-hua
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Johnny Chiang
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Yang Chiung-ying
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.