Market comparison

Taichung mayoral election winner?

2 venues · 5 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

30 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Taichung mayoral election winner?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Ho Hsin-chun Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	31.8% Bid 26.4% · Ask 37.2% Ho Hsin-chun Open Polymarket ↗	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 32.0% Ho Hsin-chun Open Kalshi ↗	3.8 pp
Chiang Chi-chen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 73.0% Chiang Chi-chen Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hong Li-hua Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Hong Li-hua Open Kalshi ↗	—
Johnny Chiang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	68.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 73.0% Johnny Chiang Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Yang Chiung-ying Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid — · Ask 0.4% Yang Chiung-ying Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Ho Hsin-chun

Identity matched

The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.

Polymarket

31.8%

Bid 26.4% · Ask 37.2%

Ho Hsin-chun

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 32.0%

Ho Hsin-chun

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.8 pp

Chiang Chi-chen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 73.0%

Chiang Chi-chen

Open Kalshi ↗

Hong Li-hua

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Hong Li-hua

Open Kalshi ↗

Johnny Chiang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

68.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 73.0%

Johnny Chiang

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yang Chiung-ying

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Yang Chiung-ying

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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