Market comparison

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

2 venues · 7 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

30 outcomes · $1.7M reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $400K reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Chiang Wan-an Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	62.5% Bid 62.0% · Ask 63.0% Chiang Wan-an Open Polymarket ↗	61.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 61.0% Chiang Wan-an Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
Kuo Hsi Identity matched The outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Kuo Hsi Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Kuo Hsi Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Hsiao Wen-kan Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Hsiao Wen-kan Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lin Chih-cheng Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Lin Chih-cheng Open Kalshi ↗	—
Puma Shen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.6% Bid 37.2% · Ask 38.0% Puma Shen Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Shen Bo-yang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 42.0% Shen Bo-yang Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tang Hsin-min Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tang Hsin-min Open Kalshi ↗	—