Market comparison

Target comparable sales growth in Q3

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

14 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 15s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 19, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

4 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 7m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 18, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Target comparable sales growth in Q3
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9% <1% Open Polymarket ↗	—
1% to 3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.7% Bid 1.3% · Ask 20.1% 1% to 3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
3% to 5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.5% Bid 60.0% · Ask 61.0% 3% to 5% Open Polymarket ↗	—
5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 30.0% 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above 0.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.0% Bid 92.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 0.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 0% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 95.0% · Ask 100.0% Above 0% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 1.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.0% Above 1.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 1% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.5% Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0% Above 1% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 2.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 81.0% Above 2.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 90.0% Above 2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 3.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	68.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 70.0% Above 3.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	65.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 75.0% Above 3% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 52.0% Above 4.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 62.0% Above 4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 5.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 37.0% Above 5.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 40.0% Above 5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 6.5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0% Above 6.5% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 33.0% Above 6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9%

<1%

Open Polymarket ↗

1% to 3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.7%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 20.1%

1% to 3%

Open Polymarket ↗

3% to 5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

60.5%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 61.0%

3% to 5%

Open Polymarket ↗

5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 30.0%

5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 0.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 0.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 0%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 95.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above 0%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 1.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.0%

Above 1.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 1%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

94.5%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0%

Above 1%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 2.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 81.0%

Above 2.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 90.0%

Above 2%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 3.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 70.0%

Above 3.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 75.0%

Above 3%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 52.0%

Above 4.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 62.0%

Above 4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 5.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 37.0%

Above 5.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 40.0%

Above 5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 6.5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0%

Above 6.5%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

28.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 33.0%

Above 6%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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