Market comparison

Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Blackburn, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.9% Bid 83.0% · Ask 93.9% Blackburn, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Blackburn, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0% Blackburn, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Blackburn, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0% Blackburn, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Blackburn, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 48.0% Blackburn, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Blackburn, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 37.0% Blackburn, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Blackburn, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0% Blackburn, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Blackburn, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 3.4% · Ask 15.0% Blackburn, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Blackburn, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.2% Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.1% Blackburn, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Blackburn, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.0% Blackburn, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Blackburn, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.3% Blackburn, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Blackburn, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Blackburn, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 4.6% · Ask 8.3% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.3% Bid 9.9% · Ask 12.7% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.8% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.1% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.0% Republican 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Blackburn, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.9%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 93.9%

Blackburn, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Blackburn, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0%

Blackburn, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Blackburn, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0%

Blackburn, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Blackburn, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 48.0%

Blackburn, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Blackburn, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 37.0%

Blackburn, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Blackburn, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0%

Blackburn, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Blackburn, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 15.0%

Blackburn, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Blackburn, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.2%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 9.1%

Blackburn, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Blackburn, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 7.0%

Blackburn, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Blackburn, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.3%

Blackburn, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Blackburn, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.7%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Blackburn, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 8.3%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.3%

Bid 9.9% · Ask 12.7%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.8%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.1%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.0%

Republican 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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