Market comparison

Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

20 outcomes · $212K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Abbott 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% Abbott 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Abbott 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Abbott 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Abbott 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.3% Abbott 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.7% Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.9% Abbott 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.7% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.8% Abbott 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	66.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 67.0% Abbott, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	63.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 66.0% Abbott, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0% Abbott, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0% Abbott, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 37.0% Abbott, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0% Abbott, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 30.0% Abbott, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 28.0% Abbott, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 16.0% Abbott, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.7% Abbott, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.8% Abbott, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.8% Abbott, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3% Abbott, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.8% Bid 14.8% · Ask 16.9% Hinojosa 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hinojosa 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.1% Bid 6.6% · Ask 9.5% Hinojosa 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hinojosa 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.8% Bid 4.1% · Ask 5.5% Hinojosa 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hinojosa, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 30.0% Hinojosa, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 30.0% Hinojosa, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 14.0% Hinojosa, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 6.3% · Ask 18.0% Hinojosa, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 34.0% Hinojosa, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 18.0% Hinojosa, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 21.0% Hinojosa, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Abbott 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Abbott 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Abbott 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Abbott 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Abbott 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.3%

Abbott 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.9%

Abbott 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.8%

Abbott 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 67.0%

Abbott, 1+ pts

Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 0-3%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 3-6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 6-9%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 9-12%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 12-15%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 15-18%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott 18%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 1+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 2+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 3+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 4+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 5+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 6+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 7+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 8+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 9+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 12+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 15+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 18+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Abbott, 21+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Hinojosa 0-3%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Hinojosa 3-6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Hinojosa 6%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

Hinojosa, 1+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Hinojosa, 2+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Hinojosa, 3+ pts

Kalshi