Market comparison

Texas Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $170K reported volume

Observed 50s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 50s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Abbott 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Abbott 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Abbott 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% Abbott 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Abbott 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.4% Abbott 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.1% Abbott 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.7% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.5% Abbott 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Abbott, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0% Abbott, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0% Abbott, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 33.0% Abbott, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0% Abbott, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Abbott, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 3.3% · Ask 7.5% Abbott, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.7% Abbott, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9% Abbott, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Abbott, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3% Abbott, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hinojosa 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.1% Bid 17.3% · Ask 18.8% Hinojosa 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hinojosa 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.3% Bid 7.1% · Ask 9.5% Hinojosa 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hinojosa 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.7% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.4% Hinojosa 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hinojosa, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0% Hinojosa, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Abbott 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Abbott 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Abbott 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Abbott 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Abbott 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.4%

Abbott 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 3.1%

Abbott 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.5%

Abbott 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Abbott, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 62.0%

Abbott, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Abbott, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 47.0%

Abbott, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Abbott, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 33.0%

Abbott, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Abbott, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

Abbott, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Abbott, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Abbott, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Abbott, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 7.5%

Abbott, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Abbott, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 8.7%

Abbott, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Abbott, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.9%

Abbott, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Abbott, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.3%

Abbott, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hinojosa 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.1%

Bid 17.3% · Ask 18.8%

Hinojosa 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Hinojosa 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.3%

Bid 7.1% · Ask 9.5%

Hinojosa 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Hinojosa 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.7%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.4%

Hinojosa 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Hinojosa, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0%

Hinojosa, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets