Market comparison

Texas Lieutenant Governor winner?

2 venues · 2 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

2 outcomes · $43K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

5 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 6m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas Lieutenant Governor winner?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Dan Patrick Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	69.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 70.0% Dan Patrick Open Kalshi ↗	70.5% Bid 69.0% · Ask 72.0% Dan Patrick (R) Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp
Vikki Goodwin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	31.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 32.0% Vikki Goodwin Open Kalshi ↗	29.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0% Vikki Goodwin (D) Open Polymarket ↗	1.5 pp