Market comparison
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗20 outcomes · $1.9M reported volume
Observed 40s ago
Observed 40s ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗12 outcomes · $85K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026
No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
James Talarico, 1+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Talarico, 2+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Talarico, 3+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Talarico, 4+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Talarico, 5+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Talarico, 6+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Talarico, 7+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Talarico, 8+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Talarico, 9+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton, 2+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton, 4+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton, 5+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton, 6+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton, 8+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton, 11+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ken Paxton, 13+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Paxton 0-3% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Paxton 3-6% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Paxton 6-9% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Paxton 9-12% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Paxton 12%+ Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Talarico 0-3% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Talarico 3-6% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Talarico 6-9% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Talarico 9-12% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Talarico 12%+ Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
James Talarico, 1+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
James Talarico, 2+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
James Talarico, 3+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
James Talarico, 4+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
James Talarico, 5+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
James Talarico, 6+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
James Talarico, 7+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
James Talarico, 8+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
James Talarico, 9+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ken Paxton, 1+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ken Paxton, 2+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ken Paxton, 4+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ken Paxton, 5+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ken Paxton, 6+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ken Paxton, 8+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ken Paxton, 9+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ken Paxton, 11+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ken Paxton, 13+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Paxton 0-3%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Paxton 3-6%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Paxton 6-9%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Paxton 9-12%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Paxton 12%+
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Talarico 0-3%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Talarico 3-6%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Talarico 6-9%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Talarico 9-12%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Talarico 12%+
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.