Market comparison

Texas's 23rd District margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas's 23rd District margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.9% Bid 5.2% · Ask 10.6% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.8% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.5% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 5.1% · Ask 5.8% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Herrera, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	63.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 63.0% Herrera, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Herrera, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 55.0% Herrera, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Herrera, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0% Herrera, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Herrera, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0% Herrera, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Herrera, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 7.1% · Ask 19.0% Herrera, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Herrera, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 2.3% · Ask 12.0% Herrera, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Herrera, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.7% Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.7% Herrera, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.1% Bid 9.5% · Ask 10.6% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.8% Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.5% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.1% Bid 10.7% · Ask 11.5% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Republican 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 3.1% · Ask 5.9% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Stout, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Stout, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Stout, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Stout, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Stout, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 4.4% · Ask 16.0% Stout, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.9%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 10.6%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.5%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 5.8%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Herrera, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 63.0%

Herrera, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Herrera, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 51.0% · Ask 55.0%

Herrera, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Herrera, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 40.0%

Herrera, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Herrera, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 29.0%

Herrera, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Herrera, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 7.1% · Ask 19.0%

Herrera, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Herrera, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 12.0%

Herrera, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Herrera, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.7%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.7%

Herrera, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.1%

Bid 9.5% · Ask 10.6%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.5%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.1%

Bid 10.7% · Ask 11.5%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Republican 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 5.9%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Stout, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

Stout, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Stout, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Stout, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Stout, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 4.4% · Ask 16.0%

Stout, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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