Market comparison

Texas's 35th District margin of victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas's 35th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cruz, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 29.0% Cruz, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 19.0% Cruz, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 12.0% Cruz, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.1% Cruz, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2% Cruz, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.1% Bid 18.0% · Ask 18.2% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 23.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 31.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.8% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.9% Bid 10.0% · Ask 29.7% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.4% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Garcia, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 65.0% Garcia, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garcia, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0% Garcia, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garcia, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0% Garcia, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garcia, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0% Garcia, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.2% Bid 2.3% · Ask 18.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 2.1% · Ask 13.4% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Cruz, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 29.0%

Cruz, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 19.0%

Cruz, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 12.0%

Cruz, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.1%

Cruz, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2%

Cruz, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.1%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 18.2%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 31.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.8%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.9%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 29.7%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.4%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Garcia, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 65.0%

Garcia, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garcia, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0%

Garcia, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garcia, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0%

Garcia, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garcia, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0%

Garcia, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.2%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 13.4%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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