Market comparison

Texas's 6th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Texas's 6th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.6% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ellzey, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.7% Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.3% Ellzey, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ellzey, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 65.0% · Ask 77.0% Ellzey, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ellzey, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	59.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0% Ellzey, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ellzey, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0% Ellzey, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ellzey, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0% Ellzey, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ellzey, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0% Ellzey, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ellzey, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 5.8% · Ask 17.0% Ellzey, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ellzey, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Ellzey, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ellzey, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3% Ellzey, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.3% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.6% Bid 19.2% · Ask 19.9% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.9% Bid 16.9% · Ask 24.9% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 35.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 17.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.5% · Ask 8.5% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.1% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 1.3% · Ask 4.2% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.6%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ellzey, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.7%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.3%

Ellzey, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ellzey, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 77.0%

Ellzey, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ellzey, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

59.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 65.0%

Ellzey, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ellzey, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0%

Ellzey, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ellzey, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 38.0%

Ellzey, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ellzey, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0%

Ellzey, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ellzey, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 5.8% · Ask 17.0%

Ellzey, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ellzey, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Ellzey, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Ellzey, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3%

Ellzey, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.3%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.6%

Bid 19.2% · Ask 19.9%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.9%

Bid 16.9% · Ask 24.9%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 35.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 8.5%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 7.1%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 4.2%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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