Market comparison
Tlaxcala Governor winner?
2 venues · 23 outcome rows · 12 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗40 outcomes · $88K reported volume
Observed 51s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 6, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗20 outcomes · $46K reported volume
Observed 51s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jun 6, 2028
Known rule differences between venues
- Generic non-US election template: rules are not uniform across events and need a per-event rules comparison before parity can be claimed.
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Alfonso Sanchez Garcia Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 5.2 pp | ||
Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 6.6 pp | ||
Anabell Avalos Zempoalteca Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 1.8 pp | ||
Carlos Augusto Perez Hernandez Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Concepcion Sanchez Gonzalez Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 1.8 pp | ||
Floria Maria Hernandez Hernandez Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 0.4 pp | ||
Hector Bernardo Paredes Mora Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 1.8 pp | ||
Irma Yordana Garay Loredo Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 0.5 pp | ||
Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 1.8 pp | ||
Miriam Martinez Sanchez Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 1.5 pp | ||
Raymundo Vazquez Conchas Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 2.8 pp | ||
Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Adriana Dávila Fernández Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Alejandro Aguilar López Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Arturo Díaz Gutiérrez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Danae Figueroa Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Delfino Suárez Piedras Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Enrique Padilla Sánchez Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Francisco Javier Soto Hernández Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Josefina Rodríguez Zamora Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Juan Manuel Cambrón Soria Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Raúl Antonio Hernández Castro Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sergio Iván Larios Salas Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Alfonso Sanchez Garcia
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 5.2 pp
Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 6.6 pp
Anabell Avalos Zempoalteca
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.8 pp
Carlos Augusto Perez Hernandez
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Concepcion Sanchez Gonzalez
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.8 pp
Floria Maria Hernandez Hernandez
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.4 pp
Hector Bernardo Paredes Mora
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.8 pp
Irma Yordana Garay Loredo
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.5 pp
Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.8 pp
Miriam Martinez Sanchez
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.5 pp
Raymundo Vazquez Conchas
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.8 pp
Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano
Identity matchedThe outcome identity is linked, but settlement parity is not verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
Adriana Dávila Fernández
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Alejandro Aguilar López
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Arturo Díaz Gutiérrez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Danae Figueroa
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Delfino Suárez Piedras
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Enrique Padilla Sánchez
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Francisco Javier Soto Hernández
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Josefina Rodríguez Zamora
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Juan Manuel Cambrón Soria
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Raúl Antonio Hernández Castro
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Sergio Iván Larios Salas
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.