Market comparison
TN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗15 outcomes · $11K reported volume
Observed 7s ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗12 outcomes · $1K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2026
No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat Wins Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 6+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 9+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 12+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 15+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 18+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 21+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 24+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 27+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 30+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 33+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 36+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 39+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 42+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 45+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
DesJarlais, 48+ pts Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Republican 0-5% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Republican 5-10% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Republican 10-15% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Republican 15-20% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Republican 20-25% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Republican 25-30% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Republican 30-35% Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Republican 35%+ Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Democrat Wins
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
DesJarlais, 6+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 9+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 12+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 15+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 18+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 21+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 24+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 27+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 30+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 33+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 36+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 39+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 42+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 45+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
DesJarlais, 48+ pts
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Republican 0-5%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Republican 5-10%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Republican 10-15%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Republican 15-20%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Republican 20-25%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Republican 25-30%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Republican 30-35%
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Republican 35%+
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.