Market comparison

TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 6m ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 10.9% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.4% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hatcher, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.5% Hatcher, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hatcher, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0% Hatcher, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hatcher, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0% Hatcher, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hatcher, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0% Hatcher, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hatcher, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0% Hatcher, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hatcher, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 31.0% Hatcher, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hatcher, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 9.1% · Ask 21.0% Hatcher, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Hatcher, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0% Hatcher, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Molder, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 1.8% · Ask 12.0% Molder, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Molder, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.9% Molder, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 29.0% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.7% · Ask 8.0% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.2% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 10.9%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.4%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hatcher, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.5%

Hatcher, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hatcher, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 82.0%

Hatcher, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hatcher, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 70.0%

Hatcher, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hatcher, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0%

Hatcher, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hatcher, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 43.0%

Hatcher, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hatcher, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 31.0%

Hatcher, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hatcher, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.1% · Ask 21.0%

Hatcher, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Hatcher, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 14.0%

Hatcher, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Molder, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 12.0%

Molder, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Molder, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.9%

Molder, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 8.0%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 9.2%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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