Market comparison

Top AI model this month

1 venue · 10 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · inactive

Kalshi

10 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 3023h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Jun 30, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Top AI model this month
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
claude-fable-5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-fable-5 Open Kalshi ↗	—
claude-opus-4-6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-6 Open Kalshi ↗	—
claude-opus-4-6-thinking Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-6-thinking Open Kalshi ↗	—
claude-opus-4-7 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-7 Open Kalshi ↗	—
claude-opus-4-7-thinking Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-7-thinking Open Kalshi ↗	—
ernie-5.1-preview Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old ernie-5.1-preview Open Kalshi ↗	—
gemini-3-pro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gemini-3-pro Open Kalshi ↗	—
gemini-3.1-pro-preview Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gemini-3.1-pro-preview Open Kalshi ↗	—
gpt-5.5-high Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gpt-5.5-high Open Kalshi ↗	—
muse-spark Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old muse-spark Open Kalshi ↗	—

claude-fable-5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-fable-5

Open Kalshi ↗

claude-opus-4-6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-6

Open Kalshi ↗

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

Open Kalshi ↗

claude-opus-4-7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-7

Open Kalshi ↗

claude-opus-4-7-thinking

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-7-thinking

Open Kalshi ↗

ernie-5.1-preview

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

ernie-5.1-preview

Open Kalshi ↗

gemini-3-pro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gemini-3-pro

Open Kalshi ↗

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

Open Kalshi ↗

gpt-5.5-high

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gpt-5.5-high

Open Kalshi ↗

muse-spark

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

muse-spark

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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