Market comparison

Top AI model this week

1 venue · 13 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

13 outcomes · $40K reported volume

Observed 3865h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: May 2, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Top AI model this week
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
claude-opus-4-6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-6 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
claude-opus-4-6-thinking Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-6-thinking · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
claude-opus-4-7-thinking Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-7-thinking · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
dola-seed-2.0-preview Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old dola-seed-2.0-preview · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
gemini-3-flash Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gemini-3-flash · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
gemini-3-pro Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gemini-3-pro · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
gemini-3.1-pro-preview Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gemini-3.1-pro-preview · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
gpt-5.4-high Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gpt-5.4-high · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
gpt-5.5-high Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gpt-5.5-high · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
grok-4.20-beta1 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old grok-4.20-beta1 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
kimi-k2.5-thinking Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old kimi-k2.5-thinking · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
muse-spark Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old muse-spark · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
qwen3.5-max-preview Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old qwen3.5-max-preview · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

claude-opus-4-6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-6 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-6-thinking · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

claude-opus-4-7-thinking

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-7-thinking · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

dola-seed-2.0-preview

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

dola-seed-2.0-preview · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

gemini-3-flash

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gemini-3-flash · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

gemini-3-pro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gemini-3-pro · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gemini-3.1-pro-preview · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

gpt-5.4-high

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gpt-5.4-high · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

gpt-5.5-high

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gpt-5.5-high · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

grok-4.20-beta1

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

grok-4.20-beta1 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

kimi-k2.5-thinking

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

kimi-k2.5-thinking · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

muse-spark

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

muse-spark · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

qwen3.5-max-preview

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

qwen3.5-max-preview · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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