Market comparison

Top AI model this week?

1 venue · 7 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

7 outcomes · $38K reported volume

Observed 421h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: Oct 5, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Top AI model this week?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
claude-fable-5.1-max Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-fable-5.1-max · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
claude-opus-4-6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-6 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
claude-opus-4-6-high Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-4-6-high · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
claude-opus-5-max Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-5-max · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
claude-opus-5.5-high Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old claude-opus-5.5-high · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
gemini-3.8-flash-high Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gemini-3.8-flash-high · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
gemini-4-argon-high Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old gemini-4-argon-high · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

claude-fable-5.1-max

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-fable-5.1-max · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

claude-opus-4-6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-6 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

claude-opus-4-6-high

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-4-6-high · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

claude-opus-5-max

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-5-max · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

claude-opus-5.5-high

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

claude-opus-5.5-high · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

gemini-3.8-flash-high

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gemini-3.8-flash-high · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

gemini-4-argon-high

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

gemini-4-argon-high · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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