The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Top Album on Spotify in 2026?

2 venues · 58 outcome rows · 8 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

53 outcomes · $72K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

14 outcomes · $43K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Both settle on Spotify Wrapped for the year; Kalshi U.S. markets use the U.S. chart, global markets the global chart. Polymarket's deadline for the report may differ from Kalshi's.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

ARIRANG

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.9%

Arirang - BTS

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

ARIRANG

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.7 pp

Dandelion

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Dandelion - Ella Langley

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Dandelion

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Debi Tirar Mas Fotos

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

92.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 94.0%

Debí Tirar Más Fotos

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 89.0%

DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Iceman

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

Iceman - Drake

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Iceman

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

petal

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Petal - Ariana Grande

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

petal

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

The Great Divide

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.7%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

The Great Divide

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

The Romantic

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.4%

The Romantic - Bruno Mars

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

The Romantic

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.6%

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

Album 2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 2 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 3 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 4 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 5 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 6 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 7

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 7 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 8 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 9 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 10

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 10 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 11

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 11 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 12

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 12 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 13

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 13 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 14

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 14 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 16 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 17 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 18 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 19

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 19 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 20 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 21

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 21 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 22

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 22 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 23

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 23 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 24

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 24 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 25

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 25 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 26

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 26 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 27

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 27 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 28 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 29

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 29 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 32

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 32 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 33

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 33 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 34

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 34 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 35

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 35 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 36

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 36 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 37

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 37 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 38

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 38 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 39

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 39 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Album 40

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Album 40 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Bully - Ye

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Bully - Ye

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Cloud 9 - Megan Moroney

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Cloud 9 - Megan Moroney

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

DINASTÍA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

DINASTÍA

Open Kalshi ↗

Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally

Open Kalshi ↗

KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film)

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

KPop Demon Hunters (Soundtrack from the Netflix Film)

Open Kalshi ↗

Octane - Don Toliver

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.5%

Octane - Don Toliver

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Art of Loving

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

The Art of Loving

Open Kalshi ↗

The Fall-Off - J-Cole

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

The Fall-Off - J-Cole

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Great Divide: The Last Of The Bugs

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

The Great Divide: The Last Of The Bugs

Open Kalshi ↗

The Life of a Showgirl

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

The Life of a Showgirl

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.