Market comparison
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th
2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗25 outcomes · $269K reported volume
Observed 51s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗10 outcomes · $48K reported volume
Observed 51s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 26, 2026
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Alibaba Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 11.0 pp | ||
Baidu Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.3 pp | ||
ByteDance Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.5 pp | ||
DeepSeek Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.7 pp | ||
Meituan Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
MiniMax Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.0 pp | ||
Moonshot Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 33.0 pp | ||
Tencent Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.6 pp | ||
Xiaomi Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 44.4 pp | ||
Z.ai Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.5 pp | ||
Company A Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company B Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company C Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company D Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company E Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company F Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company G Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company H Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company I Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company J Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company K Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company L Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Company M Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
StepFun Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Alibaba
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 11.0 pp
Baidu
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.3 pp
ByteDance
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.5 pp
DeepSeek
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.7 pp
Meituan
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.9 pp
MiniMax
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.0 pp
Moonshot
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 33.0 pp
Tencent
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.6 pp
Xiaomi
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 44.4 pp
Z.ai
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.5 pp
Company A
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company B
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company C
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company D
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company E
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company F
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company G
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company H
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company I
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company J
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company K
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company L
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Company M
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
StepFun
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.