Market comparison

Treasury 10-year yield on May 15, 2026?

1 venue · 15 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · resolved

Kalshi

15 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 3867h ago · stale

Recorded venue end date: May 15, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Treasury 10-year yield on May 15, 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Difference
4.5% to 4.52% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.5% to 4.52% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.22% or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.22% or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.23% to 4.25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.23% to 4.25% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.26% to 4.28% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.26% to 4.28% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.29% to 4.31% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.29% to 4.31% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.32% to 4.34% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.32% to 4.34% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.35% to 4.37% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.35% to 4.37% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.38% to 4.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.38% to 4.4% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.41% to 4.43% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.41% to 4.43% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.44% to 4.46% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.44% to 4.46% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.47% to 4.49% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.47% to 4.49% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.53% to 4.55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.53% to 4.55% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.56% to 4.58% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.56% to 4.58% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.59% to 4.61% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	83.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.59% to 4.61% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.62% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0%stale Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old 4.62% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

4.5% to 4.52%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.5% to 4.52% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.22% or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.22% or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.23% to 4.25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.23% to 4.25% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.26% to 4.28%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.26% to 4.28% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.29% to 4.31%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.29% to 4.31% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.32% to 4.34%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.32% to 4.34% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.35% to 4.37%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.35% to 4.37% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.38% to 4.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.38% to 4.4% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.41% to 4.43%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.41% to 4.43% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.44% to 4.46%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.44% to 4.46% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.47% to 4.49%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.47% to 4.49% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.53% to 4.55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.53% to 4.55% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.56% to 4.58%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.56% to 4.58% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.59% to 4.61%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

83.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.59% to 4.61% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

4.62% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%stale

Bid and ask hidden: prices are over 2 hours old

4.62% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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