Market comparison

Trump approval rating on October 23?

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $526K reported volume

Observed 8s ago

Observed 1m ago

Observed 8s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 7, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Trump approval rating on October 23?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
37.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% <37.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
37.5–37.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% 37.5–37.9 Open Polymarket ↗	—
38.0–38.4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 33.0% 38.0–38.4 Open Polymarket ↗	—
38.5–38.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.5% Bid 62.0% · Ask 87.0% 38.5–38.9 Open Polymarket ↗	—
39.0–39.4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.0% 39.0–39.4 Open Polymarket ↗	—
39.5+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% 39.5+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above 37.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Above 37.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 43% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.2% · Ask 6.0% Above 43% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 44% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.3% · Ask 6.0% Above 44% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 4.3% · Ask 4.8% Above 45% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 46% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.7% Above 46% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 47% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0% Above 47% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 48% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.7% Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.9% Above 48% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 49% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.6% Above 49% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.8% Above 50% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 33% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 9.3% · Ask 11.0% Below 33% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 34% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% Below 34% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0% Below 35% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 36% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 85.0% Below 36% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 37% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below 37% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 38% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below 38% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 39% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	88.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 90.1% Below 39% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.8% Bid 98.2% · Ask 99.4% Below 40% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 41% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below 41% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

37.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

<37.5

Open Polymarket ↗

37.5–37.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6%

37.5–37.9

Open Polymarket ↗

38.0–38.4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 33.0%

38.0–38.4

Open Polymarket ↗

38.5–38.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

74.5%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 87.0%

38.5–38.9

Open Polymarket ↗

39.0–39.4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.0%

39.0–39.4

Open Polymarket ↗

39.5+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

39.5+

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 37.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Above 37.4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 43%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 6.0%

Above 43%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 44%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 6.0%

Above 44%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.3%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 4.8%

Above 45%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 46%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.6%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.7%

Above 46%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 47%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.1%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0%

Above 47%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 48%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.7%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.9%

Above 48%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 49%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.3%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.6%

Above 49%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.8%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.8%

Above 50%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 33%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.3% · Ask 11.0%

Below 33%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 34%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0%

Below 34%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

Below 35%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 36%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 85.0%

Below 36%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 37%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below 37% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 38%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below 38% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 39%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 90.1%

Below 39% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.8%

Bid 98.2% · Ask 99.4%

Below 40% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 41%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below 41% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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