Market comparison

Trump approval rating on October 30?

2 venues · 49 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

43 outcomes · $590K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Observed 1m ago

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 7, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

6 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Trump approval rating on October 30?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
37.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 26.0% <37.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
37.5–37.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0% 37.5–37.9 Open Polymarket ↗	—
38.0–38.4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 20.0% 38.0–38.4 Open Polymarket ↗	—
38.5–38.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.5% Bid 43.0% · Ask 44.0% 38.5–38.9 Open Polymarket ↗	—
39.0–39.4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 33.0% 39.0–39.4 Open Polymarket ↗	—
39.5+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% 39.5+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above 43% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.2% · Ask 6.0% Above 43% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 44% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.3% · Ask 6.0% Above 44% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 4.3% · Ask 4.8% Above 45% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 46% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.7% Above 46% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 47% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0% Above 47% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 48% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.7% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0% Above 48% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 49% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.6% Above 49% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.8% Above 50% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Aluminum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Aluminum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Antifa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 37.0% Antifa Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Autism Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Autism Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Barack Hussein Obama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Barack Hussein Obama · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 33% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 9.3% · Ask 11.0% Below 33% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 34% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% Below 34% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0% Below 35% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 36% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	81.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 85.0% Below 36% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 37% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below 37% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 38% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below 38% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 39% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	88.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 90.1% Below 39% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.8% Bid 98.2% · Ask 99.4% Below 40% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 41% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below 41% · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ceasefire Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Ceasefire · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Cognitive Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Cognitive · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Deal / Settle / Settled Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Deal / Settle / Settled · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dividend / Stimulus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Dividend / Stimulus · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Epstein Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Epstein Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Fat shot / Ozempic Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0% Fat shot / Ozempic Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Filibuster Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Filibuster · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Golden Dome Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 36.0% Golden Dome Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greenland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Greenland · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Make Iran Great Again Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0% Make Iran Great Again Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Moon · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Newscum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Newscum · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peace in the Middle East Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Peace in the Middle East Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Pelosi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Pelosi · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Peptide Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0% Peptide Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Predict / Prediction Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% Predict / Prediction Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Space Force Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Space Force · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Third Term Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Third Term · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
UFC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% UFC · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
UFO / UAP Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 45.0% UFO / UAP Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Who are you with / Where are you from Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Who are you with / Where are you from · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Zohran / Mamdani Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Zohran / Mamdani · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

37.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 26.0%

<37.5

Open Polymarket ↗

37.5–37.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

37.5–37.9

Open Polymarket ↗

38.0–38.4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 20.0%

38.0–38.4

Open Polymarket ↗

38.5–38.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

43.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 44.0%

38.5–38.9

Open Polymarket ↗

39.0–39.4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 33.0%

39.0–39.4

Open Polymarket ↗

39.5+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

39.5+

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 43%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 6.0%

Above 43%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 44%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 6.0%

Above 44%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.3%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 4.8%

Above 45%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 46%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.6%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.7%

Above 46%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 47%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.1%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0%

Above 47%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 48%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.7%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0%

Above 48%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 49%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.3%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.6%

Above 49%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.8%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.8%

Above 50%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Aluminum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Aluminum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Antifa

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 37.0%

Antifa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Autism

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Autism

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Barack Hussein Obama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Barack Hussein Obama · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 33%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.3% · Ask 11.0%

Below 33%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 34%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Below 34%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

Below 35%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 36%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 85.0%

Below 36%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 37%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below 37% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 38%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below 38% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 39%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 90.1%

Below 39% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.8%

Bid 98.2% · Ask 99.4%

Below 40% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 41%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below 41% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Ceasefire

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Ceasefire · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Cognitive

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Cognitive · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Deal / Settle / Settled

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Deal / Settle / Settled · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dividend / Stimulus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Dividend / Stimulus · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Epstein

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0%

Epstein

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fat shot / Ozempic

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0%

Fat shot / Ozempic

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Filibuster

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Filibuster · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Golden Dome

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 36.0%

Golden Dome

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Greenland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Greenland · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Make Iran Great Again

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

Make Iran Great Again

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Moon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Moon · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Newscum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Newscum · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peace in the Middle East

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Peace in the Middle East

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Pelosi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Pelosi · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Peptide

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 12.0%

Peptide

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Predict / Prediction

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

Predict / Prediction

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Space Force

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Space Force · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Third Term

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Third Term · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

UFC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

UFC · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

UFO / UAP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 45.0%

UFO / UAP

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Who are you with / Where are you from

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Who are you with / Where are you from · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Zohran / Mamdani

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Zohran / Mamdani · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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