Market comparison

TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 6.2% · Ask 9.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.2% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.6% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.3% Bid 7.9% · Ask 10.6% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.6% Bid 4.6% · Ask 12.5% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 11.9% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Toth, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.5% Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.1% Toth, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Toth, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 77.0% Toth, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Toth, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 66.0% Toth, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Toth, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 43.0% · Ask 51.0% Toth, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Toth, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 40.0% Toth, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Toth, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0% Toth, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Toth, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 8.2% · Ask 17.0% Toth, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Toth, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 1.6% · Ask 12.0% Toth, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Toth, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.7% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.3% Toth, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 6.2% · Ask 9.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.6%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.3%

Bid 7.9% · Ask 10.6%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.6%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 12.5%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 11.9%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Toth, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.5%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.1%

Toth, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Toth, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 77.0%

Toth, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Toth, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 66.0%

Toth, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Toth, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 51.0%

Toth, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Toth, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 40.0%

Toth, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Toth, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0%

Toth, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Toth, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 8.2% · Ask 17.0%

Toth, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Toth, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 12.0%

Toth, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Toth, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.7%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.3%

Toth, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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