Market comparison

TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $21K reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 57s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.0% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.8% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.9% Bid 27.4% · Ask 46.4% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.2% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.6% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 3.4% · Ask 6.8% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.9% Bid 5.8% · Ask 10.0% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Self, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.6% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.2% Self, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Self, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0% Self, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Self, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0% Self, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Self, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Self, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Self, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0% Self, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Self, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0% Self, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Self, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 7.7% · Ask 19.0% Self, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Self, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0% Self, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Self, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.9% Self, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.0%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.8%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

36.9%

Bid 27.4% · Ask 46.4%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 32.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.6%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 3.4% · Ask 6.8%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.9%

Bid 5.8% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Self, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.6%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.2%

Self, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Self, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0%

Self, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Self, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0%

Self, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Self, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Self, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Self, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0%

Self, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Self, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 29.0%

Self, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Self, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 7.7% · Ask 19.0%

Self, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Self, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 12.0%

Self, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Self, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.9%

Self, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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