Market comparison

TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 0.4% · Ask 15.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gooden, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.9% Gooden, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 91.9% Gooden, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	78.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 80.0% Gooden, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0% Gooden, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0% Gooden, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0% Gooden, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0% Gooden, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 7.3% · Ask 18.0% Gooden, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Gooden, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gooden, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3% Gooden, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.8% Bid 13.9% · Ask 21.6% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 27.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 8.1% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.6% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 15.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gooden, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 98.9%

Gooden, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 91.9%

Gooden, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 80.0%

Gooden, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 72.0%

Gooden, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.0%

Gooden, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 42.0%

Gooden, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 28.0%

Gooden, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 18.0%

Gooden, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Gooden, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gooden, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.3%

Gooden, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.8%

Bid 13.9% · Ask 21.6%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 27.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 33.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 8.1%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 4.6%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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