Market comparison

TX-08 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $11K reported volume

Observed 37s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 7.9% · Ask 13.2% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7% Republican 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Steinmann, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 96.0% Steinmann, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 74.0% · Ask 86.0% Steinmann, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0% Steinmann, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0% Steinmann, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Steinmann, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 34.0% · Ask 46.0% Steinmann, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0% Steinmann, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0% Steinmann, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Steinmann, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 4.1% · Ask 16.0% Steinmann, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 20.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 22.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 7.9% · Ask 13.2%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7%

Republican 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Steinmann, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 96.0%

Steinmann, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 86.0%

Steinmann, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 76.0%

Steinmann, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 66.0%

Steinmann, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0%

Steinmann, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 34.0% · Ask 46.0%

Steinmann, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 36.0%

Steinmann, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 26.0%

Steinmann, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Steinmann, 33+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 16.0%

Steinmann, 33+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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