Market comparison

TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.1% Bid 7.3% · Ask 10.9% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.2% Bid 6.8% · Ask 7.7% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 4.4% · Ask 4.5% Democrat 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Mealer, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	76.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0% Mealer, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mealer, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 66.0% Mealer, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mealer, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 49.0% Mealer, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mealer, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0% Mealer, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mealer, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.2% Bid 7.3% · Ask 19.0% Mealer, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mealer, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Mealer, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Mealer, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.7% Mealer, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 13.7% · Ask 15.3% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 2.7% · Ask 10.9% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.9% Bid 17.8% · Ask 18.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.6% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.2% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 11.5% Republican 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.1%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 10.9%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.2%

Bid 6.8% · Ask 7.7%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 4.4% · Ask 4.5%

Democrat 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mealer, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

76.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0%

Mealer, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mealer, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 66.0%

Mealer, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mealer, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 49.0%

Mealer, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mealer, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 31.0%

Mealer, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mealer, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.2%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 19.0%

Mealer, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mealer, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Mealer, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Mealer, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.7%

Mealer, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.7% · Ask 15.3%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 10.9%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.9%

Bid 17.8% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.6%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.2%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 11.5%

Republican 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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