Market comparison

TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Goldman, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.5% Bid 91.5% · Ask 97.7% Goldman, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Goldman, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.5% Bid 89.0% · Ask 96.0% Goldman, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Goldman, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	88.8% Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.7% Goldman, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Goldman, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 86.0% Goldman, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Goldman, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 63.0% Goldman, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Goldman, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 52.0% Goldman, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Goldman, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	39.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 42.0% Goldman, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Goldman, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 28.0% Goldman, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Goldman, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.5% Bid 7.7% · Ask 19.0% Goldman, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Goldman, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 0.6% · Ask 12.0% Goldman, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Goldman, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7% Goldman, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.8% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.8% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.4% Bid 20.7% · Ask 24.1% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 37.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	44.3% Bid 39.3% · Ask 49.3% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.2% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.5% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Goldman, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.5%

Bid 91.5% · Ask 97.7%

Goldman, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Goldman, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.5%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 96.0%

Goldman, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Goldman, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

88.8%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.7%

Goldman, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Goldman, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 86.0%

Goldman, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Goldman, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 63.0%

Goldman, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Goldman, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 52.0%

Goldman, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Goldman, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

39.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 42.0%

Goldman, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Goldman, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 28.0%

Goldman, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Goldman, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.5%

Bid 7.7% · Ask 19.0%

Goldman, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Goldman, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 12.0%

Goldman, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Goldman, 31+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.2%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7%

Goldman, 31+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.8%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.8%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.4%

Bid 20.7% · Ask 24.1%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 37.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

44.3%

Bid 39.3% · Ask 49.3%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.5%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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