Market comparison

TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 40s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Jackson, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.3% Bid 90.8% · Ask 99.7% Jackson, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.8% Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.7% Jackson, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.7% Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.3% Jackson, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.5% Bid 65.0% · Ask 76.0% Jackson, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0% Jackson, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0% Jackson, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0% Jackson, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 47+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 6.8% · Ask 18.0% Jackson, 47+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Jackson, 50+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Jackson, 50+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.7% Republican 0-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.3% Bid 7.3% · Ask 15.2% Republican 15-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.3% Bid 7.2% · Ask 19.4% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	34.5% Bid 33.0% · Ask 36.0% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.2% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.3% Republican 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Republican 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 55%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.2% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.3% Republican 55%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jackson, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.3%

Bid 90.8% · Ask 99.7%

Jackson, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.8%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 98.7%

Jackson, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.7%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.3%

Jackson, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.5%

Bid 65.0% · Ask 76.0%

Jackson, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 59.0%

Jackson, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0%

Jackson, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0%

Jackson, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 47+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 6.8% · Ask 18.0%

Jackson, 47+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Jackson, 50+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0%

Jackson, 50+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.7%

Republican 0-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.3%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 15.2%

Republican 15-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.3%

Bid 7.2% · Ask 19.4%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 36.0%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.3%

Republican 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Republican 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 55%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.3%

Republican 55%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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