Market comparison

TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 43s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cruz, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 3.7% · Ask 13.0% Cruz, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 9.8% · Ask 9.9% Cruz, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Cruz, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.1% Cruz, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0% Cruz, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 3.7% · Ask 3.8% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 12.9% · Ask 18.1% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.9% Bid 8.8% · Ask 13.1% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Pulido, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 81.0% Pulido, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pulido, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 64.0% Pulido, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pulido, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 44.0% Pulido, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pulido, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 28.0% Pulido, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pulido, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 5.1% · Ask 17.0% Pulido, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Pulido, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.6% Pulido, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.3% Bid 18.5% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Cruz, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 13.0%

Cruz, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 9.8% · Ask 9.9%

Cruz, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Cruz, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.1%

Cruz, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Cruz, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 3.8%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.4%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.5%

Bid 12.9% · Ask 18.1%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.9%

Bid 8.8% · Ask 13.1%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.8%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pulido, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 81.0%

Pulido, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pulido, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 64.0%

Pulido, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pulido, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 44.0%

Pulido, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pulido, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 28.0%

Pulido, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pulido, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 17.0%

Pulido, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Pulido, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.6%

Pulido, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.3%

Bid 18.5% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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