Market comparison

TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 45s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.1% Bid 1.2% · Ask 13.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 1.5% · Ask 8.2% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.7% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.5% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Duyne, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.9% Duyne, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0% Duyne, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 69.0% Duyne, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 51.0% Duyne, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0% Duyne, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0% Duyne, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	16.0% Bid 4.6% · Ask 16.0% Duyne, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.0% Duyne, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Duyne, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.7% Bid 1.9% · Ask 7.7% Duyne, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	37.5% Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.3% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.6% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.2% Bid 0.5% · Ask 9.9% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.2% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 8.2%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.5%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Duyne, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.9%

Duyne, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0%

Duyne, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 69.0%

Duyne, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 51.0%

Duyne, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 36.0%

Duyne, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0%

Duyne, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 16.0%

Duyne, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.0%

Duyne, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Duyne, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.7%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 7.7%

Duyne, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

37.5%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.3%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.6%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 9.9%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.2%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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