Market comparison

TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $18K reported volume

Observed 48s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.5% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.1% Bid 0.7% · Ask 9.5% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.1% Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.2% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 30.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 48.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.6% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Williams, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.8% Williams, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.7% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.3% Williams, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0% Williams, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0% Williams, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0% Williams, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0% Williams, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Williams, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 15.0% Williams, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Williams, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Williams, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.5%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 9.5%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.1%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 9.2%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 30.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

39.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 48.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.6%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Williams, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.8%

Williams, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.7%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.3%

Williams, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 69.0% · Ask 81.0%

Williams, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 67.0%

Williams, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0%

Williams, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

26.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0%

Williams, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0%

Williams, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 15.0%

Williams, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Williams, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9%

Williams, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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