Market comparison

TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.9% Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 1.6% · Ask 17.4% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.4% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.9% Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.7% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.3% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Flores, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 3.2% · Ask 15.0% Flores, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Flores, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.8% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8% Flores, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gonzalez, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 86.0% Gonzalez, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gonzalez, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	71.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 71.0% Gonzalez, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gonzalez, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0% Gonzalez, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gonzalez, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0% Gonzalez, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gonzalez, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 9.9% · Ask 21.0% Gonzalez, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gonzalez, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0% Gonzalez, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gonzalez, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.7% Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.4% Gonzalez, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 4.4%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 17.4%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.4%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.9%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.7%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.3%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Flores, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 15.0%

Flores, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Flores, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.8%

Flores, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gonzalez, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

75.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 86.0%

Gonzalez, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gonzalez, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

71.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 71.0%

Gonzalez, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gonzalez, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0%

Gonzalez, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gonzalez, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 35.0%

Gonzalez, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gonzalez, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 9.9% · Ask 21.0%

Gonzalez, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gonzalez, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 13.0%

Gonzalez, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gonzalez, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.7%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 8.4%

Gonzalez, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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