Market comparison

TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 19s ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cruz, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0% Cruz, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 19.0% Cruz, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 12.0% Cruz, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.1% Cruz, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Cruz, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2% Cruz, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.1% Bid 18.0% · Ask 18.2% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 3.5% · Ask 3.6% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0% Democrat 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.6% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 12%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 1.3% · Ask 3.2% Republican 12%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Garcia, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 65.0% Garcia, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garcia, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0% Garcia, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garcia, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	27.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0% Garcia, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Garcia, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0% Garcia, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 2.2% · Ask 10.9% Democrat 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.3% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Cruz, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0%

Cruz, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 19.0%

Cruz, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 12.0%

Cruz, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

4.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.1%

Cruz, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Cruz, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.6%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.2%

Cruz, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.1%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 18.2%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 3.6%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 24.0%

Democrat 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.6%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 12%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 3.2%

Republican 12%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Garcia, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 56.0% · Ask 65.0%

Garcia, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garcia, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 53.0%

Garcia, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garcia, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

27.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 39.0%

Garcia, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Garcia, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 27.0%

Garcia, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 10.9%

Democrat 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.7%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.3%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets