Market comparison

TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Babin, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	87.0% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.4% Babin, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Babin, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.8% Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.6% Babin, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Babin, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0% Babin, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Babin, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	65.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0% Babin, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Babin, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 51.0% Babin, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Babin, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0% Babin, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Babin, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 33.0% Babin, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Babin, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0% Babin, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Babin, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.6% Bid 3.5% · Ask 15.0% Babin, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 1.7% · Ask 14.2% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 2.5% · Ask 5.0% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.4% Bid 13.6% · Ask 19.2% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 1.9% · Ask 13.7% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.4% Bid 2.8% · Ask 6.0% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Babin, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

87.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.4%

Babin, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Babin, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.8%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 91.6%

Babin, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Babin, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 83.0%

Babin, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Babin, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

65.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 71.0%

Babin, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Babin, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 51.0%

Babin, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Babin, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 44.0%

Babin, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Babin, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 33.0%

Babin, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Babin, 27+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 23.0%

Babin, 27+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Babin, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.6%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 15.0%

Babin, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 14.2%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 5.0%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.4%

Bid 13.6% · Ask 19.2%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 24.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 13.7%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 6.0%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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