Market comparison

TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory

2 venues · 19 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $19K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Casar, 49+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.1% Bid 90.1% · Ask 98.1% Casar, 49+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Casar, 52+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.8% Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.6% Casar, 52+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Casar, 55+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0% Casar, 55+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Casar, 58+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	67.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 74.0% Casar, 58+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Casar, 61+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 54.0% · Ask 65.0% Casar, 61+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Casar, 64+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	47.5% Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0% Casar, 64+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Casar, 67+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0% Casar, 67+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Casar, 70+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0% Casar, 70+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Casar, 73+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 5.7% · Ask 17.0% Casar, 73+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 0-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% Democrat 0-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.1% Democrat 35-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.8% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.7% Bid 14.4% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55-60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.6% Bid 17.5% · Ask 19.8% Democrat 55-60% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 60-65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0% Democrat 60-65% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 65-70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 65-70% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 70-75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.9% Bid 21.4% · Ask 24.5% Democrat 70-75% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 75%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.7% · Ask 8.2% Democrat 75%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Casar, 49+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.1%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 98.1%

Casar, 49+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Casar, 52+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.8%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 92.6%

Casar, 52+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Casar, 55+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0%

Casar, 55+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Casar, 58+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 74.0%

Casar, 58+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Casar, 61+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 65.0%

Casar, 61+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Casar, 64+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

47.5%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0%

Casar, 64+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Casar, 67+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0%

Casar, 67+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Casar, 70+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0%

Casar, 70+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Casar, 73+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 5.7% · Ask 17.0%

Casar, 73+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 0-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8%

Democrat 0-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.1%

Democrat 35-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.8%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.7%

Bid 14.4% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55-60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.6%

Bid 17.5% · Ask 19.8%

Democrat 55-60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 60-65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 22.0%

Democrat 60-65%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 65-70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 65-70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 70-75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.9%

Bid 21.4% · Ask 24.5%

Democrat 70-75%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 75%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 8.2%

Democrat 75%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets