The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

UEFA Champions League: League Phase Winner

2 venues · 46 outcome rows · 26 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

36 outcomes · $4.8M reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 19, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

42 outcomes · $62K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

AEK Athens

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

AEK Athens

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

AEK Athens

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Arsenal

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Arsenal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

17.1%

Bid 16.1% · Ask 18.0%

Arsenal

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Aston Villa

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Aston Villa

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 3.8%

Aston Villa

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Barcelona

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 25.0%

Barcelona

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0%

Barcelona

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 15.0 pp

Bayern Munich

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Bayern Munich

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 4.9%

Bayern Munich

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.0 pp

Club Brugge

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Club Brugge

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.3%

Club Brugge

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Como

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Como

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Como

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Feyenoord

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Feyenoord

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Feyenoord

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Galatasaray

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Galatasaray

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Galatasaray

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

LASK

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

LASK

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

LASK

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Lens

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lens

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Lens

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Lille

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lille

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.3%

Lille

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Liverpool

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Liverpool

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.3% · Ask 8.7%

Liverpool

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Manchester City

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Manchester City

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Manchester City

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Manchester United

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Manchester United

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Manchester United

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Napoli

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Napoli

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Napoli

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Porto

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Porto

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.3%

Porto

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

PSV Eindhoven

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

PSV Eindhoven

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

PSV Eindhoven

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Real Betis

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Real Betis

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.5%

Real Betis

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Real Madrid

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Real Madrid

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

Real Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 16.5 pp

Roma

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Roma

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Roma

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Slavia Prague

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Slavia Prague

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Slavia Prague

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Slovan Bratislava

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Slovan Bratislava

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Slovan Bratislava

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Sporting CP

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sporting CP

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Sporting CP

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Viking

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Viking

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Viking

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Villarreal

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Villarreal

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Villarreal

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Atletico

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Atletico

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Atlético Madrid

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.5%

Atlético Madrid

Open Polymarket ↗

Bodoe/Glimt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Bodoe/Glimt

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bodoe/Glimt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.3%

Bodø/Glimt

Open Polymarket ↗

Borussia Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Borussia Dortmund

Open Polymarket ↗

Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Dortmund

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fenerbahce

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Fenerbahce

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Fenerbahçe

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Fenerbahçe

Open Polymarket ↗

Inter

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Inter

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Inter Milan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Inter Milan

Open Polymarket ↗

Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Leipzig

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Paris Saint-Germain

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

31.6%

Bid 31.2% · Ask 32.0%

Paris Saint-Germain

Open Polymarket ↗

PSG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

PSG

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

RB Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

RB Leipzig

Open Polymarket ↗

Sabah

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Sabah

Open Polymarket ↗

Sabah Masazir

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sabah Masazir

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shakhtar

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Shakhtar

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Shakhtar Donetsk

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Shakhtar Donetsk

Open Polymarket ↗

Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Stuttgart

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

VfB Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

VfB Stuttgart

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.