The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

UEFA Europa League: 2027 Champion

2 venues · 40 outcome rows · 34 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

42 outcomes · $259K reported volume

Observed 28s ago

Recorded venue end date: May 30, 2027

36 outcomes · $45K reported volume

Observed 28s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 9, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Both settle on the official league/organizer result for the named season; Kalshi's season is the ticker edition (KXNBA-27 = 2026-27) and Polymarket's is stated in the title or slug.
  • Season cancelled or not completed: Kalshi resolves per its rules (typically a fair price); Polymarket resolves to 'Other' or 50-50 depending on the event.
  • Polymarket lists placeholders ('Other', 'Team A') and closes eliminated outcomes early; only live named outcomes are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Alkmaar

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.4%

AZ

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Alkmaar

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Anderlecht

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6%

Anderlecht

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Anderlecht

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.6 pp

Ararat-Armenia

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.0%

Ararat-Armenia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Ararat-Armenia

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Be`er Sheva

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Hapoel Be'er Sheva

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Be`er Sheva

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Besiktas

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.9%

Besiktas

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Besiktas

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Bournemouth

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 14.9% · Ask 18.1%

Bournemouth

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0%

Bournemouth

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.5 pp

Celta Vigo

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 4.3%

Celta Vigo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Celta Vigo

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.1 pp

Celtic

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

Celtic

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Celtic

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Crystal Palace

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 8.0%

Crystal Palace

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0%

Crystal Palace

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Dinamo Zagreb

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1%

Dinamo Zagreb

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Dinamo Zagreb

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Ferencvarosi

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 1.0%

Ferencvaros

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Ferencvarosi

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Hoffenheim

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 2.4%

TSG Hoffenheim

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Hoffenheim

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.7 pp

Jagiellonia

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Jagiellonia

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

Juventus

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

Juventus

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

Juventus

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Lech Poznan

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.8%

Lech Poznan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lech Poznan

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.4 pp

Leverkusen

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Bayer Leverkusen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 10.0%

Leverkusen

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Levski Sofia

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.0%

Levski Sofia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Levski Sofia

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Lyon

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 6.6%

Lyon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 3.0%

Lyon

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.3 pp

Marseille

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.1%

Marseille

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Marseille

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Milan

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Milan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Milan

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.0 pp

Nijmegen

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.7%

NEC

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Nijmegen

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

NK Celje

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Celje

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

NK Celje

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.4 pp

OFI Crete

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.2%

OFI

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

OFI Crete

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Olympiacos

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 1.0%

Olympiacos

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 7.0%

Olympiacos

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 6.1 pp

Omonia Nicosia

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.4%

Omonia

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Omonia Nicosia

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Plzen

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Viktoria Plzen

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Plzen

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Real Sociedad

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 4.7% · Ask 5.2%

Real Sociedad

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Real Sociedad

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Salzburg

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8%

Red Bull Salzburg

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Salzburg

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

SL Benfica

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Benfica

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

SL Benfica

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.0 pp

Sparta Prague

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.5%

Sparta Prague

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sparta Prague

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Sturm Graz

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Sturm Graz

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Sturm Graz

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Sunderland

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

5.2%

Bid 4.9% · Ask 5.5%

Sunderland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Sunderland

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.8 pp

Torreense

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.3%

Torreense

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Torreense

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

Union Gilloise

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 3.4%

Union Saint-Gilloise

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Union Gilloise

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

Lillestroem

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

0.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Lillestroem

Open Kalshi ↗

Lillestrom

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 3.1%

Lillestrom

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rennes

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 2.0%

Rennes

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Stade Rennais

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Stade Rennais

Open Kalshi ↗

Team AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Team AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Team AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Team AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.